Blog | 30th Jul, 2024

Nuclear is a toxic idea ... here's why

Clean energy is already here, generating 40% of our electricity in 2023! It’s on our rooftops, co-existing on farms, embraced by local businesses, and stored for later use by battery technology.

It’s the most affordable form of energy, and it’s growing fast. Which is great news, because the more clean energy we use, the less dirty coal and gas we burn, and the less damage we do to our climate.

But nuclear energy could threaten this progress. Nuclear is horribly expensive, would take decades to build, and is totally unnecessary.

Waiting for nuclear would mean over TWO BILLION additional tons of climate pollution between now and 2050 ... Click To Tweet

Nuclear is just a new distraction designed to undo Australia’s hard work and stall the renewable energy transition.

Here are 4 reasons nuclear energy in Australia is a toxic idea.

1. We've been here before!

Nuclear advocates claim to want mature discussion on nuclear, but we’ve been here before! Like ‘clean coal’, carbon capture & storage (CCS), and the ‘gas fired recovery’ that came before it, nuclear energy is just a new distraction to keep us burning dirty coal for as long as possible.

In 2015 a South Australian Royal Commission found Nuclear in Australia made no economic sense. [1]

In 2020 a Victorian inquiry into nuclear found “substantial evidence that nuclear power is significantly more expensive than other forms of power generation …” [2]

And this year the Australian Academy of Technological Sciences and Engineering (ATSE) released a report suggesting that if Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) ever make it off the drawing-board, it’s unlikely they would be cost-effective until the mid to late late 2040s. That’s 20 years away! [3]

2. Nukes would be a nightmare for our energy bills!

As you can see from the below graph, nuclear is by far the most expensive way to power our homes. [4]

Nuclear would provide the most expensive power. Source: CSIRO

The cost of building large scale nuclear is eye-watering. Best case scenario, constructing just one nuclear plant would cost $8.65 billion. But Australia has never built a nuclear power station before, so it’s very likely this price would be much higher, possibly as much as $17 billion or more. [5]

Nuclear energy projects have a long history of delays and massive cost blowouts. In the UK, the Hinkley Point C reactor was originally budgeted to cost $35 billion (AUD) but will now cost up to $94 billion (AUD). And this is in a country that already has an established nuclear industry! [6]

For this reason, superannuation funds and banks have refused to back nuclear as it doesn’t stack up economically, so the Coalition has conceded taxpayers would need to pay the full amount.

It’s a different story for clean energy. The Federal Government’s Capital Investment Scheme (CIS) is driving billions of dollars in private investment in wind, solar and batteries (which means taxpayers don’t have to foot all the costs).

In fact, the first large scale auction for battery storage was massively oversubscribed, showing huge investor interest in Australian renewable energy projects. [7]

3. It will take too long

Australia has no nuclear energy industry, so developing the required infrastructure, regulations and training programs needed would be a long process. The most credible estimates show nukes wouldn’t be producing any energy in Australia until at least 2040. [8]

If we were to stop building clean energy and wait for nuclear, we would need to keep old coal burning power stations running that are already unreliable and expensive to operate. That would mean more than two BILLION additional tons of climate pollution between now and 2050, compared to the Australian energy market operators’ latest energy transition plan. [9]

Alternatively, wind and solar projects can be up and operational within a couple of years. [10]

Nuclear energy in Australia could mean an additional 2.3 billion tons of emissions! Source: Solutions for Climate

4. We don't need it!

In 2010 just 10% of our electricity production came from clean energy, but by 2023 that number had soared to almost 40%. [11]

Rapid advances in energy technology, including large scale batteries, means we no longer require energy grids to be designed around the old ‘baseload’ model, where large, centralised power stations operated at a constant rate and can’t quickly or efficiently vary their output. Clean energy grids are being designed around a combination of variable but predictable solar and wind, and dispatchable sources. ‘Dispatchable’ means they can quickly ramp up and down their output like batteries and pumped hydro.

This is a new way of designing an energy grid. But we have study upon study showing exactly how it is possible using the technology we already have. See here, here and here.

This new model works for a number of reasons. Solar and wind output can be predicted in advance, allowing grid operators to plan and engage the required dispatchable output. You can also use ‘demand response’ mechanisms, where large industrial energy users are paid to reduce consumption at rare times of very high demand. This is much more cost effective than building generation capacity that might only be needed a few hours each year – which occurs in baseload systems. As nuclear generation is not flexible, introducing it to the energy mix would require rooftop solar system to be disconnected from the grid during the day! [12]

As you can see from the graph below, even if the Coalition’s proposed nuclear plants were built, they would only be a small, but very expensive, fraction of our energy grid. We would still need to move full steam ahead with renewable energy.

SEE THE LITTLE RED SLIVER? THAT'S ALL NUCLEAR WOULD BRING TO THE TABLE ... SOURCE: BloombergNEF

Nuclear is costly, time intensive and unnecessary. We need to cut climate pollution now, not in 25 years’ time, and clean energy sources like wind and solar with battery storage are the fastest and lowest-cost way to achieve this.

Header image credit: , Flickr

References

[1] Nuclear Fuel Cycle Royal Commission report.

[2] Parliament of Victoria Legislative Council Environment and Planning Committee. (2020). Inquiry into nuclear prohibition. Pg xi.

[3] Australian Academy of Technological Sciences & Engineering. (2024). Small modular reactors The technology and Australian context explained.

[4] Paul Graham, J. H. (2024). GenCost 2023‐24. CSIRO.

[5] Paul Graham, J. H. (2024). GenCost 2023‐24. CSIRO. Pg x.

[6] Liebreich, M. (2024, January 25). Hinkley C – don’t say I didn’t warn you! Retrieved from Thoughts of Chairman Michael: https://mliebreich.substack.com/p/hinkley-c-dont-say-i-didnt-warn-you

[7] Parkinson, G. (2024, May 3). Victoria wants to tap CIS, and federal funds, to help pay for offshore wind. Retrieved from Renew Economy: https://reneweconomy.com.au/victoria-wants-to-tap-cis-and-federal-funds-to-help-pay-for-offshore-wind/

[8] Paul Graham, J. H. (2024). GenCost 2023‐24. CSIRO. Pg 36.

[9] Solutions for Climate Australia. (2024). Nuclear Disaster: The impact on climate emissions of Australia attempting to adopt nuclear energy. Pg 2.

[10] Climate Council. (2024, May 10). NUCLEAR POWER STATIONS ARE NOT APPROPRIATE FOR AUSTRALIA – AND NEVER WILL BE. Retrieved from Climate Council: https://www.climatecouncil.org.au/nuclear-power-stations-are-not-appropriate-for-australia-and-probably-never-will-be/

[11] Clean Energy Council. (2024). Clean Energy Australia 2024. Clean Energy Council. Pg 2.

[12] Grace, B. (2024, July 15). No room for nuclear power, unless the Coalition switches off your solar. Retrieved from The Conversation: https://theconversation.com/no-room-for-nuclear-power-unless-the-coalition-switches-off-your-solar-234156&gt

Join our growing community of over 100,000 Victorians and learn how you can make a difference.