Benefits across Victoria ...
Using a new model developed by Springmount Advisory, we have calculated the energy bill savings, jobs and emissions cuts associated with replacing gas appliances in electorates across Victoria.
The data shows that replacing gas appliances in households across Victoria will create over 6500 full-time jobs for tradespeople lasting 10 years, about 20 times as many jobs as the climate-wrecking North West Shelf gas plant in Western Australia.
Going electric also slashes energy bills. Victoria-wide, if every household goes electric we will collectively save about $3.7 billion from our energy bills each year. With better home insulation, the savings increase to $5.6 billion.
In Essendon alone, the electorate of the Minister for Economic Growth and Jobs Danny Pearson, electrification has the potential to create 77 new trade jobs and cut climate pollution by 28,884 tonnes per year – equivalent to taking over 6000 cars off the road.
How does the modelling work?
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- Base housing data is sourced from the 2021 Census and then adjusted to 2025 based on ABS housing completions rates, with higher growth rates for townhouses/apartments.
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- Gas Appliance data is sourced from the 2021 Residential Baseline Study prepared by Energy Consult for the Department of Industry, Science, Energy and Resources, which is an appliance stock model covering 2021-2040. The Residential Baseline Study was completed before Victoria ended new gas connections in some housing; however, we note that total gas connections are still growing in Victoria. Gas connection data is sourced from the Australian Energy Regulator disconnection report, Dec 2024.
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- Data on number of properties not connected to gas network is calculated from subtracted gas network postcode data published by network providers. We calculated a remaining % of houses without gas by using: total number gas connections (retic + LPG) / total private dwelling = 26.5%. This % was spread across all connected electorates.
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- Gas emissions data was calculated using National Greenhouse Account Factors.
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- Employment factors for hot water, induction cookers, disconnection and heating were calculated by Springmount Advisory. The factors are all lower than the solar hot water factor established by UTS in similar analysis. ‘1 job’ means the equivalent of one person employed full time for 10 years, and hence assumes that it takes 10 years to complete all electrification work.
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- Adjustment for apartments over 4 storeys have been made to better represent the appliance stock. For blocks that are 4-8 storeys we divided the total number of apartments in electorate by 6 and for blocks greater than 8 storeys we divided the total number of apartments in electorate by 10. This is to equate for centralised units in taller apartment buildings and estimate heating and hot water appliances per apartment type (cooktops remains the same). Then used the ratio of heaters + hot water over the new total.